Looking Forward to Oscars 2020

For film fans, the most important season isn't Halloween or Christmas, it's Oscar season. As much as I disagree with the Oscars' choices for nominees and winners, every year I get sucked back in to the race, the predictions, the controversies and the surprises. As I've done before, I want to go through the major categories and give my thoughts on the likely nominees and the dark horses. 

Best Picture/Director

While things may change by the time we get deep in to the season, I think the two films going head to head for Best Picture are the opuses by Martin Scorsese and Quentin Tarantino- The Irishman and Once Upon a Time... In Hollywood, respectively. The idea of Scorsese going for his second Best Director Oscar and Tarantino possibly winning his first (he's won two for Original Screenplay) is exciting. I thought Silence deserved more love from the Academy and The Irishman will likely be the polar opposite, getting plenty of nominations, in the same way Shutter Island was ignored and then Hugo became a huge contender. The Irishman has been called Scorsese's Unforgiven, a director looking back at his history in the genre, with Clint Eastwood it was the Western, with Scorsese, the gangster lifestyle. 

OUATIH is Tarantino's most humane film since Jackie Brown and perhaps his most personal. Hollywood loves films about itself and the film is a love letter to bygone era as well as Tarantino offering an "what if" question of what Hollywood would look like if the Manson cult hadn't succeeded in their murder spree. This combination of nostalgia and a "happy ending" could really take it all the way.

Then there's Noah Baumbach's Marriage Story, which provides an alternative to the two aforementioned epics. The film is an intimate drama about a divorce between Nicole (Scarlett Johansson) and Charlie (Adam Driver') and it's already received critical acclaim across the board. The film feels like the Lady Bird of this year. I don't know that it can win but it could come up the middle if there's a strong divide between The Irishman and OUATIH. Baumbach has been nominated once for Best Screenplay (2005's The Squid and the Whale) and everything points to him getting his first Best Director nomination.

I think those three are as of now the three big contenders. Then there's Parasite, Bong Joon Ho's highly praised drama that many have called the best film of 2019. It's a lock for Best Foreign Language film and like last year's Roma it will likely end up in the Best Picture race. 

Sam Mendes hasn't been nominated since winning for American Beauty nearly two decades ago, despite directing baity films like Road to Perdition and Revolutionary Road but that could change with 1917, his World War I film that's been shot and edited to look like one shot. It sounds like Dunkirk if it was Birdman and I think the Academy will really go for it based on it being a technical marvel. 

JoJo Rabbit, Taika Waititi's satire about a boy in Nazi Germany whose imaginary friend is Adolf Hitler, sounds like such an oddball film. However, we're in a different place now with the Oscars where their tastes have broadened. This film is so strikingly bizarre it'll be hard to ignore. 

The big dark horse of the season is Joker, which reinvents the most famous super villain in comic book history from the ground-up.  Black Panther broke the Superhero glass ceiling by getting a Best Picture nomination and Joker could follow suit. And if Joaquin Phoenix is going to be the Best Actor front-runner, it'd be odd for the film not to be nominated. The last time a Best Actor winner wasn't in a Best Picture nominee was Jeff Bridges in Crazy Heart. Todd Phillips is an even bigger dark horse for Best Director. 

Jay Roach's Bombshell, which chronicles the Fox News sexual assault scandal, is getting good early buzz and could be the Best Picture winner of the #metoo movement. Roach feels like Adam McKay getting nominated for The Big Short, a director known for comedies who makes a topical drama that gets respect from the Academy. Though to be fair, Roach has been doing this kind of material on TV>

Greta Gerwig's Little Women is still a question mark. I get the sense it could be a sophomore slump for Gerwig after Lady Bird. It's just feels unexciting as a project.

Best Actress

Renee Zellwegger winning for playing Judy Garland in Judy would be a really safe choice but the Academy does love transformative performances, especially when the actor is playing a real person. In that regard Zellwegger's closest competition may be Charlize Theron as Megyn Kelly in Bombshell. Scarlett Johansson, like Marriage Story itself, is an alternative to these performances. And unlike Zellwegger and Theron, Johansson has never won.

Even if Little Women isn't great, voters love Saoirse Ronan and she  could be looking at her fourth nomination and third in this category. 

Best Actor 

Joaquin Phoenix is my favourite working actor and I think he should've won for The Master and been nominated and won for Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far On Foot. He could possibly dominate the season for Joker. I think he'll benefit from the overdue narrative and the strength of his career overall.

I think it may be too early for Leonardo DiCaprio to win a second Oscar but he'll be nominated for his very funny performance in OUATIH.

Marriage Story keeps feeling like the alternative choice. I don't see Adam Driver, winning but he's a sure bet to get his second Oscar nomination after being nominated in Best Supporting Actor for BlacKkKlansman last year. 

Robert De Niro is up for The Irishman and this could be the last time to honor an acting legend. 

Jonathan Pryce has yet to be nominated and could be looking at his first for The Two Popes, written by Anthony McCarten. McCarten has written the screenplay for three Best Actors thus far: Eddie Redmayne in The Theory of Everything, Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour and Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody. The story of The Two Popes centers around the relationship between Pope Benedict (Anthony Hopkins) and the future Pope Francis (Pryce).

Taron Egerton stands an outside shot for his portrayal of Elton John in Rocketman as does Adam Sandler in Uncut Gems, which has garnered him the best reviews of his career since Punch Drunk Love.

Best Supporting Actress

There's already a debate regarding which movie for which to campaign Margot Robbie: OUATIH or Bombshell. I think she stands a better chance for the latter, given her role in the former is too small and doesn't really have a big Oscar scene. Nicole Kidman, who's also in Bombshell, seems primed for another win in the coming years but I don't think it's her year. She may be left out entirely as she was last year for Boy Erased and Destroyer.. 

I think Laura Dern could be this year's Patricia Arquette  and dominating the season for Marriage Story. She has goodwill and the overdue narrative, plus the acclaimed drama behind her. Speaking of Marriage Story, Johansson could be a double nominee this year if she gets in here for JoJo

Rabbit.  Thomasin McKenzie, who deserved a nomination for Leave No Trace last year may get a makeup nomination for JoJo Rabbit as well.

Jennifer Lopez has gotten buzz for Hustlers, being called a reminder of her talent as an actress. If she gets in it's probably be the film's only nomination.

Best Supporting Actor

I love Al Pacino and it's great he'll be back in the race for The Irishman. And Joe Pesci too. I'd love to see Pacino win another Oscar. But Brad Pitt could be the won to beat this year for his loose, quintessentially movie-star performance in OUATIH.

It continues to be so strange Tom Hanks hasn't been nominated since Castaway. He feels like he should be like Meryl Streep, getting nominated every other year. I think it's because he makes it look so easy so it's easy to take him for granted. His casting as Fred Rogers in A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood felt perfect even before the trailer- which itself is a tear jerker- was released. This could finally bring Hanks back. The film's director, Marielle Heller, directed Melissa McCarthy and Richard E. Grant to nominations for last year's Can You Ever Forgive Me? 

Taika Waititi, aside from writing and directing JoJo Rabbit, also co-stars as the imaginary Adolf Hitler. It'd be one of the most outlandish performances ever nominated; but like I said about the movie, it's a performance that's hard to ignore.

Chrisitian Bale could also pop up for James Mangold's Ford v. Ferrari. He was nominated this year for Vice and this could be an afterglow nomination.

John Lithgow, who's way overdue for a nomination, is a possible contender for playing Roger Ailes in Bombshell. Covered in make-up and essentially playing the villain, it's the type of role the Academy eats up.

Best Original Screenplay

Is this Noah Baumbach's to lose? Unless voters want to give Quentin Tarantino a third Best Original Screenplay Oscar. 

Bong Joon-Ho will likely be a multiple nominee this year, with nominations for Director, Picture, Foreign Language and here in screenplay. 

I'd like to see Jordan Peele nominated here for Us but I don't think that film hit off the same way Get Out did.  

I can honestly see Rian Johnson's script for Knives Out getting in here.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Waititi's screenplay for Jojo Rabbit, based on Christine Leunens' novel, could have its best chance to win here.

McCarten has been nominated three times thus far and is looking at a fourth for The Two Popes, based on his play. McCarten specializes in dramatizing real life events and it's worked our for him so far.

If The Irishman really sweeps, Steve Zaillian's screenplay, based on former lawyer Charles Brandt's narrative nonfiction account of hitman Frank "The Irishman" Sheeran, could be the front runner, with Zaillian his second Oscar, his first since Schindler's List.

Other Categories

Cinematography: Roger Deakins- 1917,  Rodrigo Prieto- The Irishman, Robert Richardson- OUATIH, Hong Gyeong-Pyo- Parasite, Robbie Ryan- Marriage Story,  

Editing: Chris Dickens- Rocketman, Thelma Schoonmaker- The Irishman, Fred Raskin- OUATIH, Jennifer Lame- Marriage Story, 

Score: Randy Newman- Marriage Story, Seann Sara Sella- The Irishman, Hildur Guonadittor- Joker, Michael Giacchino- JoJo Rabbit

So, those are my basic thoughts on the race thus far. Who do you think will be nominated? Who should be nominated? Comment below and let me know.

I'm With You Till The End of The Line: "Captain America: The Winter Soldier"

I think 2011’s Captain America: The First Avenger (henceforth known as TFA) is one of the most underrated recent superhero films- and one of Marvel Studios’ unsung gems. It’s an earnest throwback to the hero’s time during WWII. Steve Rogers (Chris Evans) is a scrawny kid who wants to join the army but can’t. However, due to his pure heart, Rogers is selected to receive a super soldier serum that turns him in to Captain America. And after a noble sacrifice Rogers is frozen for nearly 70 years. The film is lighthearted and good natured, featuring a protagonist who’s not snarky, arrogant or angst-ridden. Rogers is just a good guy from beginning to end. And while that may sound boring to some the film makes this lack of a traditional character arc work.

It was a wise choice for Marvel to set TFA almost entirely in the 1940s. It would’ve been easy to have Rogers frozen in the opening minutes of the film and then wake up in modern times. Either that or not even do the “man out of time” angle and just have Rogers be a modern soldier. The 40s settings is what gives that film its charm and unique tone. It also allows the next chapter in this franchise, Captain America: The Winter Soldier (henceforth known as TWS), to be in stark contrast to its predecessor.   

TFA was a throwback to the classic Captain America stories from the 40s and TWS is akin to the more modern and spy thriller style of Ed Brubaker. And if TFA is Star Wars then TWS is The Empire Strikes Back. Like that film, TWS is a much darker, grittier and morally ambiguous film than its predecessor. Moreover, like ESB TWS changes the landscape of its universe. Nothing is going to be the same after the events in this film. This makes TWS an exciting and satisfying chapter in the Marvel Universe. This is a rock solid and thrilling adventure that arguably eclipses the original.

After the events of The Avengers Rogers is still adapting to life in the modern world and working for the espionage agency S.H.I.E.L.D.  While he has allies in the Avengers, nearly all the people he knew are dead. There’s a touching scene between Steve and Peggy Carter (Hayley Atwell), a British officer who Rogers worked alongside and fell in love with during the war. Seeing the two together, Rogers still a young man and Peggy an elderly woman, reminds us of what they could’ve had and highlights the tragedy of Rogers as a character.

Rogers becomes suspicious of S.H.I.E.L.D and its director Nick Fury (Samuel L. Jackson) when he learns of something called Project Insight, a plan by S.H.I.E.L.D. to pre-emptively neutralize threats. This plan is largely in response to the events of The Avengers and the Battle of New York.  Rogers tells Fury “This isn’t freedom. This is fear.” This moment between the two men shows us Rogers’ philosophy and how his views don’t match up to this modern world’s morally ambiguous politics. Evans and Jackson are convincing as two men that have known each other for quite some time now. Rogers calling Fury “Nick” is a nice character beat.

The film quickly becomes a conspiracy thriller as Fury is targeted by a group led by the mythic Winter Soldier (Sebastian Stan), an assassin for Russians. This attack is in regards to Fury attempting to discover more information about Project Insight and it soon becomes clear that S.H.I.E.L.D. has been compromised. But just how compromised and by whom is one of the film’s most interesting examples of storytelling and world-expanding.  Rogers can only trust a select few, including Scarlett Johansson’s Natasha Romanoff and a new ally- Sam Wilson (Anthony Mackie) - a war veteran who comic fans will recognize as Falcon.

What TWS tells us about S.H.I.E.L.D. makes Iron Man 3 and Thor: The Dark World feel like casual strolls through the park. What we learn both deepens TFA and the whole Marvel Universe. In fact, this film is often more about the Marvel Universe than it is Captain America. But they couldn’t have done this film without Captain America. He represents optimism and old fashioned heroism in its purest form. He comes from a time when one could distinguish between good and evil. To put him in the middle of a dark spy thriller where the line between good and evil becomes blurry is thematically interesting. The situation become even more personal for Rogers as the Winter Soldier has ties to Rogers’ past. The Winter Soldier is a strong presence and is a formidable foe for Rogers. I also like that the film’s true villain isn’t a super villain at all, which keeps things relatively grounded.

I think what’s most impressive about this film is how it’s able to go down a darker route than the other Marvel movies while not becoming excessively serious like The Dark Knight Rises or Man of Steel and I say that as an admirer of both films). Despite its dark overtones TWS still embraces its comic book origins and keeps its sense of humour intact. I also admire that this film’s action sequences are dirtier and more brutal than in the other Marvel films. Instead of magic hammers we have bullets, knives and hand to hand combat. Directors Joe and Anthony Russo do a fine job of crafting kinetic and mostly comprehensible action.

The climax of this film, while being predictably large scale, works spectacularly due to the stakes feeling huge. This is nowhere near the final film in the Marvel Universe but the climax brings with it a weight that tells us this is a major turning point.  The climax juggles several characters at once and while it can get a little messy it clicks together well and provides a high amount of tension.

Captain America is hard part for an actor to pull off.  Like Superman, I feel many people view Captain America as “boring” or out of date. But Evans makes Rogers a likable and believable hero for the modern age while still representing a man from a different era.  He’s so good in the role that he’s arguably to Captain America what Christopher Reeve was to Superman.  

Johansson has the most fun in the role of Romanoff yet and I like she’s gotten more personality over the course of the three films in which she’s appeared. Romanoff was largely a cipher in Iron Man 2 but in The Avengers and now this film she’s become one of the more complex and interesting characters in this universe. Mackie is charismatic as hell as deserves to be a bigger star. Fury has his most significant role to date and Jackson nails the dramatic beats of Fury’s story.  Robert Redford plays Alexander Pierce, one of S.H.I.E.L.D.’s top brass. You would think Redford’s role would just be a glorified cameo but Pierce plays a crucial part in this film’s story and Redford balances the different side of this character. What I love about Redford being in this film is that he’s always been the all-American male movie star and could’ve played Captain America in the 70s.

I do have some minor issues with the film.  One is that I wish Emily VanCamp had a larger role as Agent 13, who comic readers will know to be Sharon Carter, niece of Peggy. Though to be fair, she’s mostly here to set up the character for a third film. I also would’ve liked a little more of Maria Hill (Cobie Smulders). She’s an important part of Rogers’ team in the climax but I don’t feel I know the character well enough.  The film also takes too long to make clear what its plot and themes exactly are.     

I’ve become skeptical and cynical towards the superhero genre but TWS is a superior entry in both the Marvel Universe, maybe even their best film to date. It’s ambitious in attempting to make a political statement and how it reshapes the universe. TWS is one piece of a larger canvass but its robust, smart and thrilling blockbuster entertainment.

Best. Movie. Ever.: "The Avengers"

The task of bringing an Avengers movie to the screen is the filmmaking equivalent of rolling across a tightrope on a unicycle while simultaneously juggling 7 balls in the air. Not only does a movie like this contain several major super-heroes but they In that respect, it's remarkable that The Avengers is as focused and cohesive as it is. I think a lot of the credit goes to writer/director Joss Whedon, who, while working from a previous script by Zak Penn (who gets a story credit), is the sole screenwriter of the final product. I think having too many writers on the final screenplay could have resulted in something too convoluted and messy. While I wouldn't call this a visionary film, with just Whedon, his vision comes through

The plot is pretty straight forward, with S.H.I.E.L.D losing the Tesseract, a powerful energy source, to Loki (Tom Hiddleston), adopted brother of demigod Thor (Chris Hemsworth) brother. The director of S.H.E.I.L.D, Nick Fury (Samuel L. Jackson) brings together Tony Stark, Bruce Banner (Mark Ruffalo), who has kept his Dr. Jekyll, the Hulk under control, Steve Rogers, the recently unfrozen super soldier known as Captain America (Chris Evans) and Thor together to find it. That's pretty much it but what really makes this movie work is how well written it is.Whedon understands its humour that can save the day in movies like this. It's not just the one liners, a lot of them courtesy of Robert Downey Jr.'s Tony Stark, but the great sight gags, the unexpected blasts of humour.

There's also Whedon's ability to balance all the characters on screen. He does this by making the personalities of the Avengers come through rather than trying to give them all characters arcs. Essentially they all share the same character arc, which is they have to learn to work together as a team.  Ten years ago, if these characters had their own movies they probably would only have to worry about saving the day by themselves- and in their seperate movies, that what happened. But now these characters are facing something none of them can face alone. It's no longer just about one man but about people from different worlds and eras fighting for one thing. It's a simple idea but also a poignant one considering how one-hero centric many superhero films have been.

The film also doesn't fall in to the trap of being one character's sequel. This never feels like Iron Man 3 or Captain America 2 and as a result the whole movie feels bigger, it feels like an Avengers movie. I would have like to have learned a little more about Hawkeye (Jeremy Renner) and also his relationship with  Natasha Romanoff/Black Widow (Scarlett Johansson). Romanoff was more of a cipher in Iron Man 2 but here we learn a little more about her as a person. I wished they had gone a little further with revealing her backstory. I also would have liked to have seen the public's reaction to the return of a legendary figure like Captain America. There's a scene between the police and Captain America which I thought would lead in a moment like this but it didn't happen.

Tom Hiddleston is convincingly sinister but sometimes the movie treated like a pushover. Though to be fair, I think that may have been part of the joke. Performance wise, the all the actors do an awesome job. Evans gives a cynical edge to Steve Rogers this time and in some respects much more assertiveness. Downey Jr., as always makes Tony Stark charming and funny despite his arrogance. Ruffalo does a really good job of suggesting kindness and darkness at the same time. In many ways, he seems the most haunted of the three actors who have played Bruce Banner in a film (Eric Bana and Edward Norton being the other two). And Hemsworth continues to make his Thor a more mature character. I also liked seeing Gwyneth Paltrow back briefly as Pepper Potts. Clark Gregg also gives his most enjoyable performance yet as Agent Phil Coulsen.

The action in the film is incredible. You'd expect a movie like to this feel epic and man does it ever. I have to say, all the previous films leading up to this look a little small scale compared to this film. There's also quite a bit of  humour in the action scenes, especially a moment between Hulk and Thor, which had my audience clapping and cheering. Definitely see this with a crowd.

So, if you like comic books, if you've ever liked a comic book movie, if you've like any of the lead up films and if you want to remember how exciting it can be to see characters like this up on screen, then I think The Avengers will satisfy you. Don't believe the hype, believe the movie.